UPA and Nuclear Deal

A no-brainer’s Analysis

The basic premises:

· Deal or no deal – Indian public was not ‘affected’ by the nuclear agreement.
· Indians wanted the government to survive, because they didn’t want frequent elections and hence the political instability.
· Indians wanted government to control rising prices (inflation) and would punish all those who play the game while the household compromise.

If UPA had lost the trust vote:

· Left parties would be villain – for playing politics for 4 years and then making the government fall on a non-issue.
· BJP would be a villain – for opposing the nuclear deal just for the sake of playing the role of a non-supportive opposition.
· Congress would gain – for it sacrificed the government for an issue which it believed was good for the nation – for it was defeated because the Left met the BJP in politics of opportunism.

Now that UPA won the trust vote:

· Everyone knows that they procured MPs in order to win votes.
· Everyone knows that they have a history of bribing MPs just to remain in power, after the JMM/Shibu Soren issue last time.
· Everyone knows that they can do anything to remain in power – and don’t have any ideology, however controversial the ideologies can be.

Things to watch for in coming times:

· How the corporate houses that sponsored the bribery of MPs get paid.
· How the government pushes its scheme of Caste based reservations in some new innovative places, apart from the old agenda of reservations in private companies.
· How the government manoeuvres the Setu Samudram project to start off, though it will never complete the project (some conflicts are made never to be solved, for perpetual political gains).
· How in order to control prices, the government destroys India’s industrial growth. How the mediocrity of policy planners would seek short term results at the cost of long term damage to economy.
· How a terrorist waiting for his execution will live more under the Indian hospitality.

Some positive things that Indians will realise:

· Indians will grow more disenchanted from the power politics.
· That the governments play with their hard earned money while their farmers have to commit suicides.
· That no matter how Harvard educated they come, politicians will remain politicians.
· That politics is a thing not worth discussing in blogs too :)